Pre-tourney Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#36
Expected Predictive Rating+13.2#28
Pace64.3#306
Improvement-2.1#273

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#12
First Shot+9.7#7
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#128
Layup/Dunks+4.4#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#57
Freethrows+1.8#58
Improvement-5.2#341

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#137
First Shot+1.7#123
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#219
Layups/Dunks+0.5#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#266
Freethrows+3.0#30
Improvement+3.1#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 22.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.2% n/a n/a
Second Round51.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.3% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 297   St. Francis (PA) W 87-56 97%     1 - 0 +19.2 +7.9 +11.8
  Nov 17, 2015 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86-78 85%     2 - 0 +8.5 +15.5 -6.5
  Nov 21, 2015 307   Umass Lowell W 83-57 98%     3 - 0 +13.3 +2.2 +11.3
  Nov 26, 2015 85   Monmouth L 68-70 69%     3 - 1 +4.6 +0.8 +3.7
  Nov 27, 2015 21   Iowa W 68-62 38%     4 - 1 +20.9 +9.9 +11.7
  Nov 29, 2015 81   Alabama L 73-74 67%     4 - 2 +6.0 +10.9 -5.0
  Dec 02, 2015 109   @ Illinois W 84-79 68%     5 - 2 +11.8 +14.4 -2.6
  Dec 08, 2015 100   Stony Brook W 86-61 81%     6 - 2 +27.5 +16.7 +11.1
  Dec 13, 2015 175   Loyola Chicago W 81-61 92%     7 - 2 +16.3 +17.5 +1.0
  Dec 19, 2015 13   Indiana L 73-80 33%     7 - 3 +9.1 +7.7 +1.2
  Dec 21, 2015 289   Youngstown St. W 87-78 97%     8 - 3 -2.2 +0.6 -3.3
  Dec 29, 2015 280   Liberty W 73-56 97%     9 - 3 +6.5 +1.8 +6.4
  Jan 02, 2016 4   @ Virginia L 66-77 15%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +11.6 +15.4 -5.7
  Jan 07, 2016 206   @ Boston College W 82-54 86%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +28.0 +20.1 +10.1
  Jan 09, 2016 34   Pittsburgh L 82-86 60%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +5.0 +20.2 -15.6
  Jan 13, 2016 55   Georgia Tech W 72-64 68%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +14.8 +3.8 +11.3
  Jan 16, 2016 17   @ Duke W 95-91 25%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +22.6 +23.8 -1.4
  Jan 20, 2016 61   Virginia Tech W 83-81 71%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +8.0 +11.6 -3.7
  Jan 23, 2016 206   Boston College W 76-49 94%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +21.2 +9.5 +13.4
  Jan 28, 2016 38   @ Syracuse L 66-81 39%     14 - 6 5 - 3 -0.6 +9.8 -12.3
  Jan 31, 2016 111   Wake Forest W 85-62 84%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +24.0 +11.0 +12.4
  Feb 03, 2016 14   @ Miami (FL) L 70-79 24%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +10.0 +11.3 -2.2
  Feb 06, 2016 3   North Carolina W 80-76 29%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +21.3 +14.7 +6.6
  Feb 08, 2016 48   @ Clemson W 89-83 43%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +19.4 +26.8 -7.0
  Feb 13, 2016 11   Louisville W 71-66 41%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +19.0 +14.1 +5.4
  Feb 20, 2016 55   @ Georgia Tech L 62-63 46%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +11.7 +4.3 +7.2
  Feb 24, 2016 111   @ Wake Forest W 69-58 68%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +17.8 +1.3 +16.7
  Feb 27, 2016 46   @ Florida St. L 56-77 43%     19 - 9 10 - 6 -7.5 -6.9 -2.3
  Mar 02, 2016 14   Miami (FL) L 50-68 44%     19 - 10 10 - 7 -4.8 -8.1 -0.4
  Mar 05, 2016 74   North Carolina St. W 89-75 75%     20 - 10 11 - 7 +18.7 +11.3 +6.7
  Mar 10, 2016 17   Duke W 84-79 OT 35%     21 - 10 +20.7 +8.6 +11.7
  Mar 11, 2016 3   North Carolina L 47-78 21%     21 - 11 -10.8 -16.9 +6.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 99.2% 99.2% 6.9 0.1 1.5 20.9 64.8 11.1 0.9 0.0 0.8 99.2%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.2% 0.0% 99.2% 6.9 0.1 1.5 20.9 64.8 11.1 0.9 0.0 0.8 99.2%